Abstract

GONZALEZ CHAVEZ, Rosabel. Seasonality of rotavirus infection in Venezuela: relationship between monthly rotavirus incidence and rainfall rates. Invest. clín [online]. 2015, vol.56, n.3, pp.254-263. ISSN 0535-5133.

In general, it has been reported that rotavirus infection was detected year round in tropical countries. However, studies in Venezuela and Brazil suggest a seasonal behavior of the infection. On the other hand, some studies link infection with climatic variables such as rainfall. This study analyzes the pattern of behavior of the rotavirus infection in Carabobo-Venezuela (2001-2005), associates the seasonality of the infection with rainfall, and according to the seasonal pattern, estimates the age of greatest risk for infection. The analysis of the rotavirus temporal series and accumulated precipitation was performed with the software SPSS. The infection showed two periods: high incidence (November-April) and low incidence (MayOctober). Accumulated precipitation presents an opposite behavior. The highest frequency of events (73.8 % 573/779) for those born in the period with a low incidence of the virus was recorded at an earlier age (mean age 6.5 ± 2.0 months) when compared with those born in the station of high incidence (63.5% 568/870, mean age 11.7 ± 2.2 months). Seasonality of the infection and the inverse relationship between virus incidence and rainfall was demonstrated. In addition, it was found that the period of birth determines the age and risk of infection. This information generated during the pre-vaccine period will be helpful to measure the impact of the vaccine against the rotavirus.

Keywords : Rotavirus; acute diarrhea; seasonality; rotavirus vaccine.

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