Resumen

HURBANO BOMFIM MORENO, Mateus; AVILA SANTOS, Regina; BOLQUI DUTRA, Ítalo João  y  DE OLIVEIRA ADAMI, Andréia Cristina. Consumption of electricity in brazilian rural area. ESPACIO ABIERTO [online]. 2022, vol.31, n.4, pp.164-185.  Epub 12-Jul-2024. ISSN 1315-0006.  https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7430443.

This paper aimed to analyze the relationships between the variables price, consumption and supply of electricity in rural Brazil and the different public pricing policies applied to the sector. To this end, an autoregressive time series model (VAR) and Granger causality are used, with data from the rural electricity sector, from 1996 to 2020, distributed quarterly. Among the contributions, it is observed that the policy of universalization of access to electrification can be considered a success regarding the number of consumer units reached, however, there is a need for a review regarding the pricing policies applied, since there is a bidirectional relationship, in which Production causes Consumption and Consumption causes Production, but Price does not cause Production, but causes Consumption. This is in line with the results of the VAR model which show that an increase in the price of energy in the Rural Zone would reduce its consumption, negatively impacting productivity, since energy is an important input for production and income in the agricultural sector.

Palabras clave : Granger causality; Rural electrification; Time series; Energy sector, VAR; Rural area.

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